Slump in job ads suggest need for rate cut – Australian Broker Online


As read in the Australian Broker online, declining job advertisements signals the need for further monetary policy easing, says ANZ’s chief economist.

According to ANZ’s Job Advertisement Series, job adverts fell 1.4% in March for the first time after 9 months of rises. Despite declining slightly in March, job adverts still remain elevated. However, this follows 2 months of slowing growth at the start of 2015.

ANZ’s chief economist, Warren Hogan says this may suggest that peak growth in job advertisment’s has now passed and further rate cuts are necessary.

“The expectation of rising unemployment continues to suggest that further monetary policy easing will be required. Data released since the RBA last cut interest rates in February tend to support the decision to provide monetary stimulus. Unemployment is stuck above 6%, retail expenditure remains modest, business confidence has slipped to the lowest level in nearly 2 years, and businesses are indicating that they plan to reduce capital expenditure next year,” Hogan said.

Last month, the Reserve Bank admitted that rate cuts may not be having as much of an impact as they have in previous periods, however Hogan says monetary policy has not been exhausted.

“[W]e believe the lower interest rate environment will assist the recovery in non-mining business investment and household consumption as well as keeping some downward pressure on the currency.”

John can be contacted on 0749722081 or 0410433919. or email him at jwhitten@ihl.net.au or net www.ihl.net.au. John Whitten is a credit representative (CRN 399796) of BLASSA Pty Ltd (Australian Credit Licence No 391237).